OPINION, November 3, 2018: A couple months ago, President Trump was very vocal about wanting the immediate declassification of multiple documents related to the Russia investigation.
Trump had alluded to, and many people believe, that the declassified documents would vindicate Trump and expose many of his political adversaries.
Trump demanded that the DOJ declassify the documents and said if they didn’t do it he would.
So many watched in eager anticipation for Trump to declassify the documents.
But he never did, and in fact issued a statement saying he was backing away from his earlier demand to declassify.
Here’s more on that story from back in September from CNN:
President Donald Trump on Friday appeared to back away from his earlier demand for the “immediate declassification” of various documents and text messages related to the Russia investigation, kicking the issue instead to the Justice Department watchdog.
Trump sent two tweets on Friday stating that the Justice Department inspector general has been asked to review the documents on an expedited basis, while saying he still could ultimately decide to declassify the materials.
But the apparent backtrack was a significant shift from his unprecedented Monday statement calling for the declassification of selective portions of the FBI’s June 2017 application to monitor former Trump foreign policy aide Carter Page under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act.
“I met with the DOJ concerning the declassification of various UNREDACTED documents. They agreed to release them but stated that so doing may have a perceived negative impact on the Russia probe. Also, key Allies’ called to ask not to release,” Trump tweeted Friday.
“Therefore, the Inspector General…has been asked to review these documents on an expedited basis. I believe he will move quickly on this (and hopefully other things which he is looking at). In the end I can always declassify if it proves necessary. Speed is very important to me – and everyone!”
On Thursday evening, Trump signaled that he might be shifting from the declassification demand when he told Fox News’ Sean Hannity he had received phone calls from two unnamed “very good allies” who raised objections to releasing the documents publicly.
In addition to the FISA materials, Monday’s White House statement also called for declassifying “all FBI reports of interviews” prepared in connection with the FISA applications — which are generally highly classified materials and potentially contain information from foreign intelligence sources.
The move prompted an outcry from Democrats and former intelligence officials, who argued that the President could be jeopardizing intelligence sources and politicizing intelligence during an ongoing investigation into ties between his campaign associates and Russia.
Justice Department inspector general Michael Horowitz, who issued the report criticizing the FBI’s handling of the Hillary Clinton email investigation earlier this year, is already probing the FBI and Justice Department handling of the Russia investigation.
The White House statement on declassification cited several congressional committees in the decision to release the materials — and Trump’s Republican allies have been pressing for the materials to be released.
“This could be done in the next few hours. And the fact it’s not being done should worry the heck out of the American people,” House Intelligence Chairman Devin Nunes said in a Fox News interview Friday.
In an interview with Hill.TV, Trump said he had not read the materials but said that “many people in Congress” and “commentators” on Fox News, including Hannity, had called on him to release the records.
So, the big question is why?
Why did Trump back off his strong demand to declassify?
Only Trump knows, but I have a theory.
I've always been operating under the theory that Trump has all the goods on his adversaries. I think he has an abundance of evidence, but he's waiting for the right time to use it.
I think he knows that the information in these classified documents will break the Deep State wide open, and will be shocking to many people.
Not only shocking, but disruptive.
And here's the most important part: I think if Trump felt he wasn't going to win the Midterms, he would roll out the evidence right now. It would be do or die time. But I think he feels very confident he's going to win, and win big. In other words, I think he feels he doesn't need to release the documents at this time.
I think he wants to win the Midterms without any distraction.
Can you imagine if he declassified these documents and it led to arrests of high profile people?
Can you imagine if he did it right before the Midterms?
There would be an outcry from the Left, saying the election was not legitimate, or that the election should be postponed.
So I think Trump is making a very wise and shrewd move. I think it's a careful calculation, where he feels he can win big, get a majority in both houses of Congress and then move to declassify.
Because at that point he'll have a majority on the Supreme Court (thank you Kavanaugh!) and a majority in Congress. And of course he is firmly in control of the Executive Branch.
So that's all 3 branches of government aligned with Trump....and that is when I think you'll start to see big movement like you haven't seen yet in the first two years.
But to be fair, Trump has already done more good in his first two years than most presidents do in eight!
So....that's my theory.
What do YOU think?
Agree, disagree, other thoughts?
Love to have you chime in below!