A recent Yahoo News/You Gov poll showed what Americans think about a NATO no-fly zone over Ukraine when they understand what that action would entail.
Before realizing a no-fly zone meant shooting down Russian military planes, possibly triggering a USA-Russia war, the poll showed 40% support.
Afterward, support for a NATO no-fly zone nosedived to 23%.
Now, I have a variety of feelings about those findings.
- Annoyed a significant portion of Americans didn’t know what a NATO no-fly zone really meant
- Pleased that many people changed their minds when informed of what would happen
- Disgusted 23% of the poll participants were warmongers
Other recent polls suggested significant numbers supporting the measure, and mainstream media clamored for the action that could spark WWIII.
However, opposition to a no-fly zone drastically increased when respondents learned it would likely mean war with Russia.
The new poll includes a split form test of ‘no fly zone’ — support plummets when respondents told NFZ means “the U.S. military would shoot down Russian military planes flying over Ukraine, possibly triggering a war between the U.S. and Russia” https://t.co/8rK3mgcuci pic.twitter.com/2lbjxE6O75
— Mark Blumenthal (@MysteryPollster) March 15, 2022
Summit News reported:
Among Republicans support for a no-fly zone shifted from a 22-point margin IN FAVOUR (48% to 26%), to a 38-point margin AGAINST it (55% to 17%).”
A separate poll conducted by Quinnipiac found that while three quarters of Americans want the U.S. to supply aid to Ukraine, 54 percent agree with NATO’s continued refusal to enforce a no-fly zone, while just 32% want the measure instituted.
Interestingly, the poll found that more Democrats are against the no-fly zone, than Republicans, with 58 percent of Dems against the no-fly zone, compared to 47 percent of Republicans.
Worryingly, Democrats like AOC sound more reasonable than some establishment GOP figures on the matter.
— Mariam Jalloul (@MariamJalloul_) March 17, 2022
Yahoo News noted other poll figures:
The percentage of respondents who now say Biden is doing “a better job leading his country” than Putin, for instance, climbed 7 points (from 33% to 40%), while the percentage who say Putin is doing a better job leading than Biden fell by roughly the same amount (from 19% to 10%) — a net swing of 16 points in Biden’s direction. This reflected both an increase in Democrats choosing Biden (from 68% to 80%) and a decrease in Republicans choosing Putin (from 36% to 19%), with a corresponding rise in Republicans choosing “neither” (from 46% to 63%).
Independents, meanwhile, went from evenly divided (22% Putin vs. 21% Biden) to picking the U.S. president as the better leader by a 3-1 margin (33% Biden vs. 10% Putin).
Overall, more Americans now believe that Biden’s response to Russia has either been “about right” (31%) or “too tough” (6%) than believe it has “not [been] tough enough” (34%), with the share saying the latter falling by 5 points over the last two weeks. That decline was similar among Republicans (down 6 points, from 58% to 52%), independents (down 6 points, from 44% to 38%) and Democrats (down 4 points, from 25% to 21%).