Axios Reports: Dem Firm Predicts HUGE Trump Win, Followed By Overturn After Late Mail-In Ballots

A top Democratic data firm is warning that a huge increase in mail-in ballots in 2020 may have the election night effect of making President Trump appear to have a landslide lead, even though he may lose once all the mail-in votes are counted.

Hawkfish, a Democratic data firm funded by billionaire former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, expects far more Democrats to vote by mail than Republicans. That expectation is based on a July 1-Aug. 16 survey of 17,263 registered voters nationwide, which measured how people intend to vote and who they intend to vote for.

Because it could take days or weeks to tally the mail-in ballots, that could create the effect of making Trump look like he is in the lead on election night.

"We are sounding an alarm and saying that this is a very real possibility, that the data is going to show on election night an incredible victory for Donald Trump," Hawkfish CEO Josh Mendelsohn told Axios, calling the effect a "red mirage."

In one scenario, if only 15% of mail-in ballots are counted on election night, that could make Trump look on pace to get a 408-130 Electoral College vote lead. But by four days later, if 75% of mail-in ballots are counted, then Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden could show a lead.

"When every legitimate vote is tallied and we get to that final day, which will be some day after Election Day, it will in fact show that what happened on election night was exactly that, a mirage," Mendelsohn said. "It looked like Donald Trump was in the lead, and he fundamentally was not when every ballot gets counted."

Basically, Democrats will know exactly how many votes they need to flip the election results back in Joe Biden's favor a week later, after Donald Trump wins re-election.

Our friends at Fox News have more on the very real threat of voter fraud, as accounted by an anonymous Democratic operative:

An anonymous Democratic operative’s account of how election fraud is allegedly committed was “revealing” and “chilling,” the New York Post reporter who interviewed him told “Fox & Friends” on Tuesday.

“Confessions of a voter fraud: I was a master at fixing mail-in ballots,” was published in The New York Post on Saturday and was written by Jon Levine, who interviewed the top Democratic operative and wrote “voter fraud, especially with mail-in ballots, is no myth.”

Levine added that the operative “knows this because he’s been doing it, on a grand scale, for decades.”

Mail-in ballots have become a point of contention between Republicans and Democrats in the 2020 elections.

Democrats contend President Trump and new Postmaster General Louis DeJoy are trying to sabotage the 2020 election by delaying service that could compromise mail-in ballots during the coronavirus pandemic.

Republicans dismissed the Democrats' election concerns as a conspiracy theory. President Trump has railed against mail-in voting over fraud concerns as more states seek to increase it during the pandemic.

Levine told “Fox & Friends” that the political insider, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he fears prosecution, came to The New York Post and presented evidence. Levine called him “a very serious guy in New Jersey” who “has a very long track record with some of the biggest politicians in that state.”

“Once he started talking and once it came from the horse's mouth, it was both … revealing, but also chilling,” Levine said.

The Democratic operative “said fraud is more the rule than the exception,” Levine wrote in the piece.

“His dirty work has taken him through the weeds of municipal and federal elections in Paterson, Atlantic City, Camden, Newark, Hoboken and Hudson County and his fingerprints can be found in local legislative, mayoral and congressional races across the Garden State,” The Post article said. “Some of the biggest names and highest office holders in New Jersey have benefited from his tricks, according to campaign records The Post reviewed.”

Levine went on to write that “The whisteblower — whose identity, rap sheet and long history working as a consultant to various campaigns were confirmed by The Post — says he not only changed ballots himself over the years, but led teams of fraudsters and mentored at least 20 operatives in New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania — a critical 2020 swing state.”

Levine told “Fox & Friends” on Tuesday that what the operative would say is the “voter is mailed the ballot and then once the ballots go out, they just fan out and they knock on doors and they convince people to hand over completed ballots.”

“He says a shocking number of people will just hand over completed ballots,” Levine added.

“This is a real thing,” the tipster said, according to the New York Post. “And there is going to be a f–king war coming November 3rd over this stuff … If they knew how the sausage was made, they could fix it.”