Remember in 2016 when Hillary Clinton was ahead in every single poll and she had a 98% chance of winning the election?
Democrats and the media better be more careful this time around!
It seems though, as if lately we’ve been living through a repeat of 2016.
Joe Biden has Trump beat by wide margins in “all” of the major polls, even though he’s been holed up in his basement for the past two months.
If you listened to the media, Trump shouldn’t even bother running (wouldn’t they love that?)
Not every poll, however, seems to be running in liberals’ favor.
The latest CNBC poll, which took place in key battleground states and also surveyed independents, shows Trump swinging with a 2% lead over Biden.
Here’s the latest details on the poll from CNBC:
Voters in swing states are sharply divided along partisan lines over the coronavirus pandemic with just under six months to go before Election Day, according to a new CNBC/Change Research poll.
Democrats and Republicans in the key electoral states of Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin disagree over whether there is likely to be a second wave of Covid-19 cases and who is to blame if there is.
Republicans were far more likely to say that corporations should be shielded from liability if their customers or employees contract the virus and sue, while Democrats said they were taking more precautions, such as wearing masks and avoiding restaurants.
The survey polled 5,408 likely voters in battleground states from Friday to Sunday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.9 percentage points.
The data sheds new light on the battle between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden, which is being waged in the shadow of the worst public health crisis in living memory.
Some of the data in the survey is good news for the president.
In a hypothetical match-up, Trump holds a narrow, 48%-46% lead over Biden among all the battleground voters surveyed, including a 41%-32% lead among independents. He also leads Biden 51%-40% in who would do a better job handling the economy. The two are in a statistical tie over who would do a better job handling coronavirus.
Do you think the media talks about this new poll?
They’d like to bury it and pretend it doesn’t exist, just like they did in 2016.
The President even pointed this out himself in the following tweet:
To the media’s credit, not all are following Biden with their eyes closed. CNN posted the following a few days ago, although it probably sickened them to admit it:
Meanwhile, an opinion piece from the Washington Examiner points out what may really be going on with Biden’s surge in the polls:
Joe Biden is just demolishing President Trump if you believe the latest national poll. There's a good reason to think this won't last though.
Former Vice President Biden leads President Trump 50% to 39%, according to the latest poll by Quinnipiac University, whose polling operation is nationally renowned. (If you’re wondering, Quinnipiac’s late-May poll in 2016 showed Hillary Clinton leading Trump by 2 points, which ended up being her final margin of victory in the popular vote.)
Here’s the interesting thing: This looks more like a Biden surge than a Trump collapse.
The new Quinnipiac poll shows a tiny downtick in Trump’s approval rating, from 45% in April to 42% now. The current 42% is in line with what Trump’s approval has been for most of the past 3.5 years, so it’s not as if the virus or the economy is causing a ton of people to abandon Trump. It seems something is causing people to come to terms with Biden.
The RealClearPolitics average bears this out. Biden’s average was 46.8% on May 10. He’s exceeded that in every poll since then, and his average is now 48.7%. Trump’s average has moved, on net, less than 1 percentage point.
This isn’t great news for Biden. He’s been mostly absent in the past month. If he surges when nobody is paying attention to him, that bodes ill for the fall, when he will presumably debate Trump three times and the national press will be focused on the election. Biden should be more cheered if he saw Trump's approval rating cratering, but that's not happening. He's still at his normal 42%.
Whatever you make of this Quinnipiac poll, this much is clear: Biden is polling ahead of Trump.
Biden has led Trump in basically every single poll all year. Two polls in April showed a tie. One poll back in February showed Trump ahead of Biden 52% to 48%. That was back when Biden had lost Iowa and New Hampshire and when there was no deadly pandemic sweeping the United States and causing unprecedented job loss.
Check out the positive responses on Twitter to Trump’s latest poll results: