In the first Florida Emerson College Polling survey of 2024, President Trump is the favorite to win the GOP Primary.
Donald Trump won the hypothetical 2024 Florida GOP Primary with 47% of the vote.
Gov. Ron DeSantis finished second with 44%.
No other candidates surpassed four percent in the poll.
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When counting only confirmed candidates, the poll declares Trump the winner with 79% of the vote.
The Florida governor has yet to publicly announce if he intends to launch a presidential bid.
In a Florida Emerson College Polling survey for 2024, Donald Trump leads Governor DeSantis by three points, 47% to 44%.
No other candidate surpasses four percent.
— DailyNoah.com (@DailyNoahNews) March 17, 2023
2024 GOP Primary
Someone else 2%https://t.co/DFq8BJoauB pic.twitter.com/73Oz07VBaB
— Emerson College Polling (@EmersonPolling) March 17, 2023
From Emerson College Polling:
The first Florida Emerson College Polling survey of 2024 finds 53% of voters disapprove of the job President Joe Biden is doing in office, while 40% approve. By contrast, 51% of voters approve of the job Governor Ron DeSantis is doing as Governor, while 42% disapprove.
In a hypothetical 2024 Republican Primary, former President Donald Trump leads Governor DeSantis by three points, 47% to 44%. No other candidate surpasses four percent. Among announced candidates, Trump, Nikki Haley, and Vivek Ramaswamy, Trump’s support increases to 79%, Haley to 16%, and Ramaswamy holds 6%. A majority, 69%, of DeSantis voters move to Trump if the primary were to remain between three announced candidates, while 20% would move to Haley.
Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling said, “Nearly one year out from the Florida Presidential Primary, DeSantis and Trump are in a two-way race for the Republican nomination, statistically even with one another. While 90% of Republican voters approve of DeSantis, that does not translate into a firewall of support over the former President for the nomination in their home state,” Kimball said.
Similar to the 2020 Democratic primary where Joe Biden received 62% of the vote, 61% of Democrats think Joe Biden should be the nominee come 2024, while 39% think it should be someone else. When presented with a list of potential 2024 candidates, Biden holds 41% support, followed by Vice President Kamala Harris at 14%, Senator Bernie Sanders at 11%, and Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg at 8%. Fifteen percent think the nominee should be someone else.
According to Emerson College Polling, Donald Trump and Joe Biden are even at 44% in a general election, while DeSantis leads Biden 46-43%.
*Source – Emmerson College Polling*
Emerson College Polling conducted the survey amongst Florida voters from March 13-15, 2023 with a sample size of 1,153 registered voters and a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points.
40% of Florida voters cited the economy or housing affordability as their primary issue for the 2024 election.
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