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Election Model Predicts 91% Chance For Trump Victory In November!

The model created by Stonybrook Professor, Helmut Norpoth, correctly predicted the 2016 Election in favor of underdog Trump as well.


If you watch The Fake News or follow the polls that they shove down our throats, it would appear that President Trump is on a sinking ship.

I'd prefer to put my faith in a model that his predicted almost every election accurately since 1912.

Luckily for me, one such system happens to exist. 

From MSN:

President Donald Trump has a 91 per cent chance of winning the November 2020 election, according to a political science professor who has correctly predicted five out of six elections since 1996.

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“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth told Mediaite on Tuesday.

Mr Norpoth told the outlet that his model, which he curated in 1996, would have correctly predicted the outcome for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced.

The model calculates the winning candidate based on early presidential nominating contests and placing an emphasis on how much enthusiasm candidates are able to generate early in the nominating process, the professor said.

“The terrain of presidential contests is littered with nominees who saw a poll lead in the spring turn to dust in the fall,” Mr Norpoth said.

If the prediction is correct, former vice president Joe Biden is placed at a severe disadvantage due to losses in his party’s first two presidential nominating contests in Iowa and New Hampshire."



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