Democrats are riding high again on poll numbers putting President Trump behind Democratic candidate Joe Biden.
Of course, many snowflakes were left howling at the moon in 2016 when polls were proven to be uncompletely unreliable.
Because Trump won big.
Some Democrats are now warning against making the same mistake twice when it comes to buying into the numbers, especially in swing states.
President Donald Trump is down or within striking distance in nearly every battleground state, his approval ratings are stubbornly low and he’s threatening to bring down the GOP Senate majority with him while helping to douse Republican chances of a House takeover. Some Democrats are even beginning to feel confident about their prospects this fall.
Yet many can’t let themselves enjoy it.
“I’m not confident at all. I think the easiest way to ensure Trump’s reelection is to be overconfident. Too many Democrats are looking at national polls and finding them encouraging,” said Sen. Chris Coons (D-Del.), a close ally of Joe Biden. “Too many Democrats assumed that Hillary Clinton was a shoo-in and didn’t vote or didn’t work.”
Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-Mich.), who calls herself “Debbie Downer” for repeatedly raising the alarm in Democratic circles, said she heard from people in her district that they plan to vote for Trump in 2020.
“Everyone will roll their eyes and say, ‘that’s Debbie.’ But I was right in 2016,” Dingell said in an interview.
She was among the few Democrats to warn that Clinton was on track to lose Michigan: “Anybody who believes the polls right now is overconfident.”
Representitive Dingell represents Michigan, who famously went red for Trump 4 years ago.
Many on the left are warning against the complacency which good poll numbers tends to create on the ground during elections:
Ah yes, Donald Trump the cheater, who beat Hillary fair and square.
The party of mail in ballots is worried that he won't leave once they stuff the ballot boxes.
One thing about polls, is they only reflect the answers of people willing to participate in them.
Here's a theory from Sean Spicer stating many Trump supporters may fear being shamed for their choice by their tolerant liberal friends and family.
From The Independent:
Former Trump administration press secretary Sean Spicer has a theory as to why his former boss is trailing Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden in almost every recent poll.
People do not want to admit they support him — even to family and friends.
Mr Spicer tweeted: “Crucial takeaway in new poll showing why polls will continue to be an issue: ‘only 37% of @realDonaldTrump voters would want their friends and family to know how they had voted while 74% of @JoeBiden supporters are comfortable with it being known.”
The poll Mr Spicer is referencing was conducted by the Democracy Institute, a DC Think Tank for The Daily Express newspaper in the UK.
The Trump era has been an unprecedented time in American history.
Whether from his economic successes, to the hyper-polarization of his treatment in the media, the Trump era breaks the mold for politics in our country.
Perhaps that is why today's poll numbers must be taken with a grain of salt.
They say numbers don't lie, but a picture tells a thousand words: