Quinnipiac Has Biden Up Almost 10 Points Over Trump In Latest Poll


Do you believe the polls?

I never believed them in 2016 and I don’t belive them now in 2020.

Why?

Because I trust my EYES.

I see Trump filling 20,000+ stadiums all around the country night after night, and then I see Biden struggle to fill a high school gym.

And the Media wants to tell me Biden is up 10 points?

I don’t buy it.

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Here's the detail, from Quinnipiac:

In the Democratic primary race for president, former Vice President Joe Biden is in the best position that he has been since the end of the summer, with 29 percent of the vote among Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll released today. Biden is followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders with 17 percent, Sen. Elizabeth Warren with 15 percent, and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg with 9 percent. Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has 5 percent, businessman Andrew Yang receives 4 percent, and Sen. Amy Klobuchar gets 3 percent. No other candidate tops 2 percent. In a November 26 poll, Biden received 24 percent, Buttigieg got 16 percent, Warren had 14 percent, and Sanders got 13 percent. 

"This is the first time Biden has had a double-digit lead since August, and Sanders' best number since June. While Warren's numbers seem to have stabilized, Buttigieg's numbers have dipped," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy. 

Slightly more than half of all registered voters, 51 percent, think that President Trump should not be impeached and removed from office, while 45 percent say he should be impeached and removed. This compares to a November 26 poll in which 48 percent of voters said the president should not be impeached, while 45 percent said he should be. Today's poll is the first time since House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced the inquiry that more than half of voters say that Trump should not be impeached.

"With Washington in turmoil and House Democrats poised to vote on impeaching the president for abuse of power and obstruction of Congress, American voters signal they are slightly more inclined not to impeach than to impeach," Malloy added. 

If the general election for president were being held today, 51 percent of registered voters say they would vote for Joe Biden, while 42 percent say they would vote for President Trump. When Trump is matched against other Democratic contenders the race remains in single digits:

  • Bernie Sanders gets 51 percent, while Trump has 43 percent;
  • Elizabeth Warren receives 50 percent and Trump gets 43 percent;
  • Michael Bloomberg gets 48 percent to Trump's 42 percent;
  • Pete Buttigieg has 48 percent, while Trump receives 43 percent;
  • Amy Klobuchar receives 47 percent, while Trump has 43 percent.

This compares to an October 8 poll, in which Biden beat Trump 51 - 40 percent, Sanders led Trump 49 - 42 percent, and Warren won against Trump 49 - 41 percent. 

At this point in the 2016 election cycle, a December 2, 2015 Quinnipiac University national poll found that 47 percent of voters said that they would vote for the eventual Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, while 41 percent said that they would vote for eventual Republican nominee Donald Trump. 

Today, voters give the president his highest score on his handling of the economy since the question was first asked in February of 2017, with 54 percent approving of the way he's handling the economy and 42 percent disapproving. A similar 57 percent of voters say that they are better off financially today than they were in 2016, while 22 percent say they are worse off and 19 percent volunteered that they are the same. Voter perception of the economy has improved since October, as 69 percent of voters say the state of the nation's economy is excellent or good, while 30 percent say it is not so good or poor. In an October 23 poll, 61 percent said the economy was excellent or good, while 36 percent said it was not so good or poor. 

Among top Democratic presidential candidates, none are especially well-liked by registered voters:

  • a mixed 44 percent favorable to 47 percent unfavorable for Biden;
  • a mixed 44 - 48 percent rating for Sanders;
  • a negative 38 - 45 percent rating for Warren;
  • a split 31 - 29 percent rating for Buttigieg;
  • a split 24 - 23 percent rating for Klobuchar;
  • and a negative 21 - 40 percent rating for Bloomberg.

President Trump gets a negative 40 percent favorable to 57 percent unfavorable rating. This compares to the December 2, 2015 Quinnipiac University poll, in which Trump had a negative 35 - 57 percent rating. His future 2016 opponent, Hillary Clinton, had a negative 44 - 51 percent rating in that poll - similar to current front runner Biden's rating today. 

Similar to his current favorability rating, 41 percent of voters approve of the job Trump is doing as president, while 55 percent disapprove. 

From December 4 - 9, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,553 self-identified registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The survey includes 665 Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points. 

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