The pollsters (who were MASSIVELY WRONG) about President Trump in 2016 are back again to tell us what’s going to happen!
Last week they were telling us Biden was up 8 points on Trump.
Now they’re saying he’s received a huge “bump” after making his official announcement.
Take a look:
Here's more, from CNBC:
Former Vice President Joe Biden gained steam among Democratic voters in his first week as a declared candidate for president, putting more distance between himself and the crowded field of primary candidates already in the running.
Three national polls published Tuesday show that Biden, who was already the early front-runner, gained substantial ground after formally joining the Democratic presidential primary contest last week after months of hesitation.
Biden centered the launch of his campaign on his ability to defeat President Donald Trump, particularly in Rust Belt states like Michigan and Pennsylvania. He has earned more attention from the president, who dubbed him “Sleepy Joe,” than his Democratic fellow contenders.
Biden, a longtime former senator from Delaware, gained 11 percentage points in April, according to a poll conducted by SSRS for CNN last week. Another survey, conducted by Morning Consult, shows Biden gained 6 percentage points since a week before. Both show that Biden is leading Sen. Bernie Sanders, his nearest competitor, by double digits.
Biden is the favorite of 39% of Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents according to the CNN poll and of 36% of registered voters likely to vote in the primary, according to Morning Consult. In the same polls, Sanders holds 15% and 22%, respectively. And a third poll, conducted by Quinnipiac University, found Biden had even more support, with 38% of Democrats favoring him. Sen. Elizabeth Warren came in second at 12% in that poll, and Sanders took 11%.
South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Sen. Kamala Harris and former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke are the only other candidates with 5% support or greater.
Of course, things could change. With nearly a year before the first primary contest, a majority of Democrats consistently tell pollsters that they have not finalized their choice. Historically, though, early polling does provide some insight into the likely primary victor.
Inside the numbers
Notably, Biden’s lead stretches into states where Sanders has structural advantages. A poll conducted by Suffolk University and The Boston Globe, released Tuesday, showed that Biden leads Sanders in New Hampshire by 8 percentage points. Sanders, a popular longtime senator for Vermont, prevailed by more than 20 percentage points in the Granite State’s 2016 primary contest against Democratic rival Hillary Clinton.
The CNN and Morning Consult surveys show that Biden also holds a commanding lead among nonwhite voters, a demographic that could be key to the fortunes of the Democratic primary field.
Joe Biden is a viable presidential candidate, says former US Senator Judd Gregg
Half of nonwhite voters told CNN that Biden was their top choice for the Democratic nomination. In comparison, Sanders received the support of only 14% of nonwhite voters. Warren received 7% of nonwhite voter support, while Harris and O’Rourke tied for 4%.
Biden also leads black voters according to Morning Consult, with 43% support compared with Sanders’ 20%. In the Morning Consult survey, Harris was the favorite of a tenth of black voters, Warren picked up the support of 6% and Sen. Cory Booker received 5%.
Buttigieg hits a snag
Meanwhile, Buttigieg, who has emerged in recent weeks and zoomed to the front of the pack, continued to lag voters of color in both surveys, a possible hurdle to building on his momentum.
Buttigieg, who has made efforts in recent days to increase his outreach to black voters, was the favorite of 3% of nonwhite voters in the CNN poll and 2% of black voters according to Morning Consult.
Anyone else find it funny that the party (Dems) that hates "old white guys" is currently being represented by two really old and really white guys? (Biden and Bernie)
And third on the list is another white guy - Buttipeg (or whatever his name is).
And 4th on the list I suppose is probably a white guy allllllegedly pretending to be a hispanic guy? Calling himself "Beto" but more formally known as "Robert Francis".
And then somewhere in the mix is finally a non-white non-guy Kamala Harris.
Oh my, what a party the Dems are!
Anyway, I digress.
Here's what CNN had to say on the so-called "Biden Bump":
Former Vice President Joe Biden's announcement of a bid for the Democratic presidential nomination earned him an 11-point polling bounce, leaving him head and shoulders above the rest of the Democratic candidates.
A new CNN poll conducted by SSRS after Biden's announcement on Thursday shows 39% of voters who are Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents saying he is their top choice for the nomination, up from 28% who said the same in March.
That puts Biden more than 20 points ahead of his nearest competitor, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont -- who holds 15% support in the poll -- and roughly 30 points ahead of the next strongest candidate, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (8%).
Warren ranks about evenly with South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg (7%), former Texas Rep. Beto O'Rourke (6%) and Sen. Kamala Harris of California (5%), who round out the list of those earning 5% or more in the poll. The remaining 17 candidates tested all held the support of 2% or less.
Biden's surge in support solidifies his status as the front-runner in a race that now has 20 candidates in the Democratic field. Biden's early campaign message has been centered around taking on President Donald Trump more directly rather than his Democratic counterparts -- and the President has noticed, spending time attacking Biden repeatedly on Twitter and Fox News in recent days. Biden also has highlighted his close personal ties to former President Barack Obama, releasing a campaign video on Tuesday that interspersed images of his vice presidency with Obama's remarks during his Medal of Freedom ceremony.
Now I don't care if you find this juvenile or immature....it's funny and possibly spot on.....in response to the reports of the "Biden Bump" this Twitter user posted:
You win Drew B!
Care you help us get a FAIR POLL?
I don't buy the "Biden Bump" polls.
So let's do one of our own and see how it turns out, shall we?
An honest one. ⬇️