During the 2016 Republican primaries I thought there couldn’t possibly ever come another election with so many candidates – but Democrats setting their sights on 2020 have quickly proven me wrong.
Take a look at the list of those running and you probably won’t even recognize a third of the names (unless you’re familiar with the likes of John Delaney, Marianne Williamson, Jay Inslee, Wayne Messan, or John Hickencooper).
While the herd of candidates will begin thinning quickly once the Democrat debates start, the polls aren’t looking great for one Democrat in particular with the most name recognition: Elizabeth “Pocahontas” Warren. While she’s arguably the Senator suffering from the worst strain of Trump Derangement Syndrome, her anti-Trump hysteria hasn’t helped rally voters to her side.
According to The Hill, Warren doesn’t even lead other Democrats in her home state of liberal Massachusetts.
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) on Sunday placed third in a 2020 presidential poll of her home state of Massachusetts, trailing Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and former Vice President Joe Biden.
In a poll of likely Democratic primary voters in the state, 14 percent picked Warren as their preferred Democratic nominee for president.
Sanders led the field with 26 percent of support, followed closely by Biden, who had the support of 23 percent of likely Massachusetts voters.
The results were similar for neighboring New Hampshire.
Of note, her fellow female Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is polling at a whopping zero percent.
While respondents didn’t have the chance to explain why they supported a particular candidate, it’s hard to imagine anyone would want to support a candidate that lies about something as trivial about their ancestry. And polling is hardly Warren’s only problem. As the Washington Free Beacon noted:
Warren was the first prominent politician to form a presidential exploratory committee in December and officially launched her campaign in February, but she has struggled to raise money and lost her finance director over a disagreement about her pledge to focus on small donors.
Historically, betting odds have more accurately forecasted the results of elections than polls, and the story there is much of the same. According to the most recent odds from PredictIt, Elizabeth Warren only has roughly a 3% chance of winning the Democrat primary, which is lower than outsiders such as Andrew Yang, and people the media decided to randomly make famous, such as Beto O’Rourke.
While I can’t say I’m thrilled by any of them, at least we probably won’t be hearing Warren’s voice for long.