All aboard! The Trump Train is at full speed and closing in on Joe Biden.
A recent poll by CNN shows that Joe Biden only leads Trump by 4 points compared to a 14 point lead Biden had earlier in June.
The gap is getting smaller and smaller but let’s not get complacent get out and vote red no matter what the polls say!
Analysis: A CNN poll shows Trump slicing into Biden’s lead. Should Democrats panic?
The poll, which showed Biden up 14 in June, now has the margin at four. But other recent polls show no such shift. https://t.co/nx6eWtGDKZ
— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) August 17, 2020
new CNN national poll:
Biden 50%
Trump 46%— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) August 17, 2020
What’s with @CNN POLLS increasing me by 10 points in a short period of time. Maybe they want to take over from @FoxNews!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 17, 2020
CNN had this to say about their recent poll:
Joe Biden’s lead over Donald Trump among registered voters has significantly narrowed since June, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, even as the former vice president maintains an advantage over the President on several top issues and his choice of California Sen. Kamala Harris as a running mate earns largely positive reviews.
And on the eve of the party conventions, a majority of voters (53%) are “extremely enthusiastic” about voting in this year’s election, a new high in CNN polling in presidential election cycles back to 2003.Overall, 50% of registered voters back the Biden-Harris ticket, while 46% say they support Trump and Pence, right at the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. Among the 72% of voters who say they are either extremely or very enthusiastic about voting this fall, Biden’s advantage over Trump widens to 53% to 46%. It is narrower, however, among those voters who live in the states that will have the most impact on the electoral college this fall.Across 15 battleground states, the survey finds Biden has the backing of 49% of registered voters, while Trump lands at 48%.The pool of battleground states in this poll includes more that Trump carried in 2016 (10) than were won by Hillary Clinton (5), reflecting the reality that the President’s campaign is more on defense than offense across the states. Taken together, though, they represent a more Republican-leaning playing field than the nation as a whole.
A new CNN poll released on the eve of the Democratic National Convention indicates that the lead presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden has enjoyed over President Donald Trump in most national polls all but evaporated in recent weeks. But another one released hours later by ABC and the Washington Post illustrated why. It’s important to put any single survey in context.
A poll conducted by CNN in June had Biden up by a robust 14 percentage points. But the new poll released Sunday showed his lead among a random national sample of adults slimmed all the way down to just 4 percent — a spread nearly within the poll’s 3.7 percent margin of error.
“Across 15 battleground states, the survey finds Biden has the backing of 49 percent of registered voters, while Trump lands at 48 percent,” CNN’s writeup of the poll says, though it doesn’t identify which specific states were included in that set.
Some understandably responded to the poll with surprise that a race that seemed Biden’s to lose could suddenly be so close, especially as the coronavirus continues to rampage out of control and with the unemployment rate north of 10 percent.
As the election gets closer Trump will continue to close the gap to Biden’s lead but a lot of times these polls don’t show the silent majority. Always take these polls with a grain of salt as the 2016 election proved.
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